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The Ringer’s NBA Odds Machine

Who will win today’s games? Which teams are the title favorites? And how long will every playoff series last?

Getty Images/Ringer illustration

Welcome to The Ringer’s NBA Odds Machine for the 2020-21 postseason. Based on team strength as measured by point differential—a historically strong predictor of future success—with adjustments for individual wrinkles like injuries and schedules, the Odds Machine includes four features: a breakdown of each day’s games, an analysis of those games’ importance, a look at each team’s likelihood of advancing through the various playoff rounds, and an examination of each series, game by game. The Odds Machine will update every day until a champion is crowned, so be sure to check back throughout the coming months as the league’s best teams battle for a title.

Getty Images/Ringer illustration

The chart below shows each team’s likelihood of advancing through each playoff round and, ultimately, winning the 2020-21 title. We’re simulating the rest of the postseason every day, so check back daily for the latest projections.

Playoff Odds

Team Make Second Round Make Third Round Make Finals Win Title
Team Make Second Round Make Third Round Make Finals Win Title
Bucks 100% 100% 100% 100%
Suns 100% 100% 100% 0%
Hawks 100% 100% 0% 0%
Clippers 100% 100% 0% 0%
Nets 100% 0% 0% 0%
Nuggets 100% 0% 0% 0%
76ers 100% 0% 0% 0%
Jazz 100% 0% 0% 0%
Heat 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lakers 0% 0% 0% 0%
Knicks 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mavericks 0% 0% 0% 0%
Celtics 0% 0% 0% 0%
Trail Blazers 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wizards 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grizzlies 0% 0% 0% 0%
Getty Images/Ringer illustration

How likely is your favorite team to win in a sweep? What about losing in five, or winning in six, or going all the way to a nail-biter Game 7? These charts show the chances for each possible outcome in every series.

Suns vs. Bucks

Outcome Odds
Outcome Odds
Suns in 4 n/a
Suns in 5 n/a
Suns in 6 n/a
Suns in 7 n/a
Bucks in 4 n/a
Bucks in 5 n/a
Bucks in 6 100%
Bucks in 7 n/a
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